As Gold weakens, will a positive macro shift take Ethereum to $3K? 

• ETH could be the highest $ 3K in the fourth quarter, for crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe.
• However, the market sentiment was negative to negative after the summer period.

Ethereum [ETH] It can see embossed recovery in H2 2025 before the likely potential sentiment of risk. According to Krypto analyst Michaela van de Poppe, Gold reached $ 3.5,000 in the fourth quarter and reduced risk markets.

However, he added that with a gold (risky) drop to a low range of $ 3.2,000, the risk markets could be re -pumped.

“Gold has disintegrated, and therefore probably reached the peak in the upcoming 6-12 months, suggesting that it is time for risk.”

Ethereum is the time to shine?

From the perspective of the 53% increase in ETH in May, it coincided with risky movement because gold dropped by almost 10%. At that time, a business interview from USA-Chinese dispersed tariff subtitles that were the main drag on the risk markets.

Now that a similar risk scenario could be likely after an appalling agreement on the ceasefire of Israel-Iran, will ETH rise higher?

Poppe assumed that ETH could play at $ 3,000 and added,

“In addition; CNH/USD breaks up, which is automatically a move that ETH/BTC should return to 0.026 -> Ethereum to $ 3,000.”

In the 3rd quarter, the expectations of the Fed for ETH will be another key factor in the price. In recent hearingFed chairman Jerome Powell said that the July inflationary printing could determine whether the regulator would reduce the interest rate.

In fact, after Powell’s statement, chance The red rate reduction increased to 18%. At the time of the press, however, the market was more secure in September to reduce feed rates and reached more than 70% of chances.

In other words, the potential reduction in feed rates in the fourth quarter could further support the risk of sentiment and support the price objective of Poppe $ 3K.

Despite the bull bevels for Q3, however, it seemed that the total sentiment of the options market was neutral to negative to 25 Delta risk (25RR).

Since this writing, the reversal of the risk to July has been negative, while August and September were 0 and 0.32, which meant a negative to neutral market sentiment until the summer.

In the short term resistance It lies around the price range of $ 2.4,000 -2.6 000. A huge piece of offer has been purchased at this level and could act as a sales pressure if the holders decide to reduce their losses.

Overall, changing macro environments could favor bulls in the 3rd quarter. But the typical summer peace can delay the side for ETH Bulls, as the sentiment of the option market shows.