Bitcoin: Breaking down BTC’s mid-cycle signals before it’s too late

• Bitcoin CMI hits 0.55 when the miners hold back, and long -term holders begin to move with coins.
• Increasing profits and stable RSI show that bitcoins remain calm, although there is a risk of volatility.

The Bitcoin [BTC] The combined market index (BCMI) exceeded the neutral brand 0.50 and sat at 0.55 at the time of printing.

Historically 0.60–0.75 range There is a place where 20-35% of price shocks tend to strike, usually before euphoric peaks.

Despite this momentum shift, the wider mood remains measured.

Fear and greed hovered in the low 70 years, Mvrv near 2.0 and Nupl around 0.4, suggesting that the award is not yet overheated.

The ETF flows and the increased self -deustration continues to mute the spikes on the chain and create a cautious but warming macro environment as the momentum is being built.

Can the upper limit still support bitcoins?

It seems that the miners keep back from unloading the coins, because the miners position (MPI) index remained deeply negative at -0.66.

This behavior indicates the preference of accumulation or at least non -frost, which usually aligns with the bull settings of the middle cycle.

Interestingly, the MPI increased by 66.22% over the last 24 hours and indicated growing pressure.

However, the metric remains below zero, which confirms that miners have to exert significant sales pressure. As long as this restriction persists, bitcoins UPtrend could continue to accept indirect support from mining entities.

Sleeping wallet wakes up but no mass output so far

The coin days destroyed (CDD), when they were modified by the delivery, increased by 10.34%, indicating that long -term holders began to move by coins.

This behavior, albeit gentle, often reflects the transfer of market psychology – perhaps because of profit or macro signals.

While movement signals a change in sentiment, it did not reach the level associated with extended profit. The market psychology seems to change quietly, but not aggressive.

Are profits growing fast enough to signal the euphoric peak?

NET realized profit/loss (NRPL) increased by 5.36% in 24 hours and reached $ 95.84 million. This growth reflects improved profitability, although it remains far below the historical extremes observed during top rally.

The data strengthens BCMI reading in the middle of the cycle, suggesting that the bitcoins rally still has room for growth. This means that traders should be careful about how fast profits are composed, because Euphoria could slip unnoticed.

Is Bitcoin’s UPTREND safe?

At the time of printing, Bitcoin was awarded $ 108,520 and continued trading over his upward trend line. The parabolic dots of SAR remained under price candles – validated bulls.

The RSI indicators were around 55, suggesting that neither the overbugged nor the surcharged territory. This neutral attitude in combination with the current price structure stressed that the BTC has remained technically stable – for now.

However, the task below $ 106,000 could endanger the integrity of trends. While the momentum is intact, traders should monitor any disorders that can disrupt this quiet behavior in the middle of the cycle.

Of course, the wider background still prefers movement up.

Bitcoins BCMI sat at 0.55 and signaled warming in the middle of the cycle. The miners hold, the long-term holders throw the coins without rushing out, and the profits are growing-unhappily not greedily.

Simply put, the settings remain intact. However, if the BCMI crawls into a 0.60-0.75 zone, it is a risk of shocks.