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Bitcoin [BTC] Resistance remained over its 365-day simple gliding diameter (SMA) on the ratio of the MVRV-historically reliable middle cycle anchor.
This bounce that occurred Twelve days ago he is now carefully monitored as a barometer of Bull Continuity.
Naturally, with BTC holding over $ 108,000, the settings indicate long -term confidence, provided that the “MVRV> SMA365” condition holds.
As always, the belief must be supported by actual participation in the chain. The price itself cannot bear momentum.
NET realized profit/loss (NRPL) increased by 2.27%, which recorded a net profit of $ 293 million. This reflects a slight wheel of profit, but it is not enough to cause a sale.
In fact, such behavior is typical of the middle cycle environment. Traders are gradually closing themselves without leaving a wider uptrend.
The absence of extensive sales shows that participants still expect BTC to march higher.
Here the graph is complex.
The number of BTC transactions fell to 85.9K and the network growth dropped to 65.8 hp – as floats near the monthly minimum, to the data santiment.
These rejection indicate less new participants and reduced interaction on-searcies. Although it could increase the red flags, it also suggests that speculative foam has been cleaned.
Therefore, bulls can interpret it as resetting, not as a schedule. However, if the activity remains low for a long time, it could increase.
Meanwhile, price stability despite these weak signals shows disagreement between adoption and valuation trends.
Social dominance for BTC has increased to 34.92%, which is the highest point in 2025. This tip revealed increasing attention on the market, often associated with speculative excitement.
However, such spikes have previously identified local peaks, especially if they were not supported by the strength of the on-the-line. Therefore, the increasing attention may be a double sword.
While it controls awareness and tide, it also increases volatility.
At the time of printing, the BTC kept firmly over 9 days and 21 -day EMA, while RSI was around 55, signaling a slight bull momentum.
This setting reflects structural health because EMA provides dynamic support. But Momentum is fragile.
The price must break over $ 110,000 and the RSI must rise around 60 to attract fresh buyers.
Until then, the side movement could continue. Nevertheless, EMAS acts as a strong base, allowing bulls to try to further pressure if the sentiment is equal to and returns volume.
Despite the faint activity on the chain, key structural bitcoins signals remain intact. Metrics such as the ratio of MVRV, EMA and modest NRPL profits indicate that the bulls have not lost the soil.
This means that the number of transactions and the growing social dominance indicates the fragility below the surface.
BTC remains bull – but it is not invincible. If the volume is revived and returns to the chain, another leg can follow. Until then, patience and caution have been ruled.