Bitcoin Rally to $120K Possible After Bears Unwind Positions - adtechsolutions

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Bitcoin Rally to $120K Possible After Bears Unwind Positions


Key with you:

  • Bitcoin derivatives show reduced demand for the protection of disadvantages, suggesting renewed investors’ confidence.

  • The US import of tariffs increases tariffs to Japan and South Korea has intensified recession concerns and increased the attraction of bitcoins as a hedge.

Bitcoin (BTC) from the center traded between $ 107,300 to $ 110,600, which supports speculation about the potential of a sudden price rally. Market participants are increasingly convinced that fresh liquidity injections by the main central banks could serve as a catalyst for a bitcoin bull running.

Source: x/Tedpillows

The Tedpillows market analyst pointed out that Bitcoin lagged behind the global currency supply chart. If the historical correlation between these two remains intact, Bitcoin can be placed for profits. In addition, X Tedpillows has claimed that delay in US imports “means a green signal” for bitcoins to reach $ 120,000.

US Finance Minister Scott Bessnt said Import Tariffs will increase on August 11 for countries that have not reached an agreement with the administration of President Donald Trump. Initially, the administration set on Wednesday as a deadline for negotiations, so investors welcomed the expansion as a sign of progress in the avoidance of a trade war.

Debit BTC Put-to-Call Volume. Source: Laevitas.ch

On Saturday, demand for Put (sell) options He grew on the debit and moved the rat-to-call ratio to the highest level in more than a year. Although this unusual activity may reflect increased demand for the protection of the disadvantage, the effect seems to have disappeared. On Monday, the indicator returned to 0.8, which favored the call options (purchase).

If traders significantly increase their lever bear betcoin bets, BTC futures bonuses would probably be affected. In neutral conditions, monthly contracts are usually traded with a bonus of 5% to 10% to obtain prices and compensate for a longer settlement period. Demand in short (sales) demand tends to control this bonus below 5%.

Bitcoin 1-Month anualized futures premium. Source: Laevitas.ch

Futures data support the concept of increased bear sentiment at the weekend, because Futures Premium BTC dropped to 3.5% on Saturday, from 4.5% on Friday. On Monday, however, the bonus increased above 5% of the neutral brand, although the BTC was traded below $ 108,000.

Bitcoin derivatives show improving sentiment despite wider concerns about recession

Bitcoin Derivative metrics Perhaps it must not signal bull momentum, but it seems that the sharp increase in demand for protection of the disadvantage has passed. This shift indicates the renewed trust of investors, especially remarkable given that the S&P 500 index dropped by 0.9%on Monday.

Related: The price of bitcoins drops to $ 107,000 despite the inflow of BTC ETF $ 1b – what is behind the pull?

Concerns about the economic recession were deepened after Trump announced a 25% increase in the customs target for imports from Japan and South Korea. In response, the 10 -year -old US cash register has climbed to the highest level in two weeks because investors demanded more revenues for detention of government debt.

USA 10 -year revenues of the Ministry of Finance (left) vs. BTC/USD (right). Source: TradingView

Trade -related tensions have caused a wider shift towards the aversion of risk. Bitcoin’s ability to remain above $ 107,000, associated with improved derivative indicators, strengthens the case for the 120,000 USD rally.

Finally, whether this forecast will be met will depend on the wider change in the perception of the investor, from the perception of bitcoins as asset to risk to risk accepts it like a hedge and an alternative financial system.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended and should not be considered legal or investment advice. The opinions, ideas and opinions expressed here are the author himself and do not necessarily reflect or present the opinions and opinions of Caintelegraph.