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Bitcoin is before its long -term “power law” curve, which in previous cycles has historically led to euphoric price maximum.
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The declining dollar and the expected reduction in interest rates of the federal reserve system can cause a wider rally to a risk, with bitcoins as the main recipient.
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Spot bitcoin ETFs captured 70% of the influx of gold in 2025.
Bitcoin (BTC) In July, it gathered by 10%, reached a new maximum at $ 118,600, and this could only be the beginning of the parabolic rally according to an anonymous analyst of Bitcoins APSK32. The analyst said Bitcoin could be worth up to $ 258,000 if history repeated.
According to the ApSK32, the Bitcoin price action was monitored by the long -term trend line of the power curve, the mathematical model reflecting the exponential growth of BTC over time. It measures the price deviation from this trend line, not only from dollar conditions, but in units of time, an approach known as the outlines of power law.
Analyst he explained This bitcoin is slightly more than two years before its performance curve, which means that if the price remains flat, it would take two years to intersect the long -term trend line again. Apsk32 said,
“We are currently over 79% of historical data using this metric. Top 20% is what I call” Extreme Greed “. These are blown peaks that come every four years.”
The “extreme greed” zone extends from $ 112,000 to $ 258,000, a zone that appeared during the Euphoric Bitcoins peaks in 2013, 2017 and 2021. The analyst indicated that “if the four -year pattern continues”, Bitcoin could be between $ 200,000 and $ 300.
Similarly, Satra Bambra, CEO of Perpetual Trading Platform Rails, said Cointlegraph that several macroeconomic forces could be significantly higher in 2025 in 2025. Bambra pointed to the expanding balance sheet of federal reserves and on the axis to lower interest rates, which is potentially under the new leadership in responding to economic tariffs, such as key catalysts, which could be elevated, as key catalysts. Together, these shifts could light a wide rally in risk assets, with bitcoins ready for benefit.
Bambra quoted the US Dollar Index (DXY), which fell below 100 as a critical early signal of this macrot pivot, suggesting that the wave of cuts and fresh stimulus soon follows. Against this background, the CEO of
“I see that bitcoin will be a parabolic in an area of $ 300,000 – 500,000 driven by two key forces.”
Related: Does the crypto market enter the new supercycle? Here are 5 ways to know
Bitcoin ETF runs out of gold as the rally is being built
Spot funds traded with bitcoins (ETF) acquire on the basis of gold and 70% of their year -on -year pure tide, according to which Ecoinometry. This strong reflection from the slow initial signal 2025 is increasing institutional interest and confidence in bitcoins as a legitimate storage of value.
Bitcoin remains a The risk of assetWith slight correlation with NASDAQ 100 in the last 12 months, in accordance with its five -year average. Its low correlation with gold and bonds emphasizes its unique role in portfolio.
Echoing this sentiment, director of Fidelity for Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer, recently noted that the baton turned back to Bitcoin. According to Timer, a narrowed Sharpe gap between bitcoins and gold points to BTC, which offers excellent revenues adapted to the risk. The Sharpe ratio measures how much the unnecessary return of the asset brings the level of risk, which compares its performance with a risk benchmark modified for volatility.
The graph below, based on weekly data from 2018 to July 2025, emphasizes how Bitcoin’s yields (1x) are closed at Gold’s (4x). From relative performance, gold is $ 20.34, while Bitcoin climbed to $ 16.95.
Related: Bitcoin $ 120k expectations add fuel to ETH, Hype, Uni and Sei
This article does not contain investment counseling or recommendations. Every investment and business step includes a risk and readers should do their own research in decision -making.
